← Hans Arena Store Championship

Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2

at Hans Arena Store Championship

decks
2 (6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11 2-7-2
overall winrate
27.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.5% avg ELO -4.1 per match
expected value
42.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1230 · median 1230 · range 1169–1291 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1047 Q1 1210 Q3 1405 1571
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 36.7% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 42.8% -6.9
Wind Shadowstrike 20.0% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 49.2% -0.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 10.0% 0
Wind Seiryuu 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.7% -10.1
Fire Suzaku 6.7% 0
Water Allies 6.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.4% -9.0
Fire Arcane 3.3% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.3% 0
Fire Crux Mage 3.3% 0
Fire Exia 3.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.5% -2.4
Fire Oblation 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.9% -11.4
Fire Suited 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.2% -10.8
Slimes 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.8% +14.0
Water Astra Ranger 3.3% 0
Wind Allies 3.3% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/31975/archetypes/Fire Firebloom Burn